napolijuventus

Napoli v Juventus

Serie A Week 6 –  Saturday, 26th September – 19:45 GMT – Stadio San Paolo


juventus

Juventus

How frustrating was the Frosinone game? Just as Juventus take two step towards in terms of performance, which was really dominating, they make a triple backflip from the results standpoint because they did not close the game despite having plenty of chances. The two main takeaways is that Juventus are struggling to score, but I think it is an aberrations, and that they can not afford to take the foot off the gas because they are not at the point where they are able of managing games. Solving this will take time.

The squad has collected only two points at the Juventus Stadium against Udinese, Chievo Verona and Frosinone: it is not only extremely worrying, it is also almost unintelligible. The team dropped ten point behind Inter: the gap has yet to become unbridgeable, but it is widening a little too quickly.

Juventus need a convincing and commanding performance in Serie A as they face Napoli, another top team that is sort of struggling. You may remind that the trip to Naples has been a turning point for Juventus twice in recent years. Last season, Juventus snapped a ten-year drought and held off Roma’s attempt of a comeback just as it looked like Rudi Garcia’s side was ready to take the lead. Three seasons ago, Antonio Conte forged his famous 3-5-2 against Walter Mazzarri’s Napoli and they came back from 3-1 to 3-3, showing for the first time the great character of that team that finished the season undefeated and surprisingly beat Milan in the Scudetto race.

3-5-2 could return in this game, mainly because of the paucity of right backs. Stephan Lichtsteiner was hospitalized after the last match due to breathing difficulties, he has been discharged but it is a situation that needs to be sorted out taking all the necessary precautions. Martin Caceres is out with a minor muscular injury. The worst part is that this choice could literally decide the game as Lorenzo Insigne has been on fire on that flank as of late. The only option is Simone Padoin, who has been basically buried at the end of the bench after the two horrid performances as deep-lying midfielder against Udinese and Roma. Of course he was not the reason why we lost, but I do not see how the coach thought that would work. The other solution would be to ditch the four-man defense and have Andrea Barzagli guard that part of the field, which is usually a good idea. Gazzetta is reporting that Alex Sandro could be used on the right flank, but they have made many bizarre suggestions on the Juventus lineup in the recent weeks.

If Massimiliano Allegri do opts for 3-5-2, I really hope he does not use both Padoin and Patrice Evra, because the formation would be way too defensive, and that he fields at least one between Juan Cuadrado and Alex Sandro, but I am not optimistic my wish will be granted because he tends to have a conservative approach. Hernanes should regain his spot in the heart of the midfield, with Paul Pogba on his left and either Mario Lemina or Stefano Sturaro on his right. If Lemina was chosen to be the pivot, which would be perfectly fine, at that point Roberto Pereyra would have a solid chance to start at CM in order to maintain a certain offensive/defensive balance. In the attack, it looks like Alvaro Morata is fit and slated to play from the get-go, with either Paulo Dybala or Simone Zaza on his side. I have a suspicion that Allegri likes having Dybala come off the bench, so Zaza is slightly the favourite. The alternatives are a 4-3-2-1 with Cuadrado and Pereyra supporting Morata and the 4-3-3 seen against Manchester City, with probably Zaza as centre-forward.

Probable lineup:

3-5-2: Buffon; Barzagli, Bonucci, Chiellini; Cuadrado, Lemina, Hernanes, Pogba, Evra; Morata, Zaza.

Injuries:

Khedira (thigh), Asamoah (knee), Marchisio (thigh), Caceres (thigh), Lichtsteiner (breathing difficulties)

Suspended:

None

 

napoli

Napoli

Napoli are having a tough transition to the new regime, the Maurizio Sarri era has not started as well as they hoped, as they have collected six points in five matches. Their sole win came in a resounding fashion against Lazio at San Paolo (5-0), while they have dropped points against Carpi (0-0), Empoili (2-2), Sampdoria (2-2 after they were up two-nil) and Sassuolo (1-2). Despite the bad misstep against the newly promoted side, their attack is superb and they have already scored ten goals, second best in Serie A, while their defense, which has conceded six goals, remains their Achilles heel.

Sarri has started the season relying on the 4-3-1-2 he mastered on Empoli, turning Lorenzo Insigne in a trequartista and Dries Mertens and Josè Maria Callejon into second-strikers. While the first experiment worked, the other two did not go very well. The coach switched to a more reasonable 4-3-3 in the game against Club Brugge and the team exploded with ten goals in two matches. 4-3-3 makes more sense because sometimes it is simply better to field the players in the position they are most comfortable playing in, but it is not yet perfect. Rafa Benitez’s 4-2-3-1 was really the best way to take advantage of the whole offensive arsenal and using Marek Hamsik as box-to-box midfielder is a waste because it takes a toll on his attacking game and anyway he does not offer much in the defensive phase. With the addition of Elseid Hysaj, Vlad Chiriches, Allan and Mirko Valdifiori, Napoli would be better than last year’s version even deploying the same tactic.

As for this match, Kalidou Koulibaly should have another chance to confirm his growth from the start, with the former Tottenham on the bench, like Christian Maggio. Jorginho should replace Valdifiori, who is struggling almightily in his new team and is not in ideal conditions yet. Callejon should complete the trident with Insigne and Gonzalo Higuain as Mertens did not deliver in the Carpi match where he was in the starting XI. I think that Mertens is a better player than Callejon, but both the Belgian winger and Insigne are ball-dominant players, while the Spaniard is more capable of playing off the others, an ability that has proven to be very useful over the years. Mertens works better as an alternative to Insigne than as a partner.

They do not play as well as last year’s peak Empoli, but they have already shown some quick and dangerous combinations upfront. Allan, who is not known for be a scoring threat, has already scored twice thanks to deadly cuts at the right moment. Higuain and Insigne, who is becoming quite an assist man, are handfuls for all defenses. On the other hand, their defense is generally very vulnerable and prone to blunders, even though they have kept a clean sheet for three straight games, and they play very tight so there should be plenty of room on the flanks.

Probable lineup:

4-3-3: Reina; Hysaj, Albiol, Koulibaly, Ghoulam; Allan, Jorginho, Hamsik; Callejon, Higuain, Insigne.

Injuries:

None

Suspended:

None

 

 

Formation

Stats and Facts

Infographics from www.sporticos.com