juventus

Juventus v Lazio

Serie A Week 21 –  Sunday, 22nd January – 11:30 GMT – Juventus Stadium


juventus

Juventus

Once again, Juventus came up short on the road after playing a midweek game. Granted that three of those four losses came against fiery opponents, this has become a troublesome trend. It must have something to do with mental energies or preparation because nowadays, everybody is accustomed to playing every three days. Whatever the reason was, the squad sleepwalked through the first hour of the games, conceding two avoidable goals against an enemy that looked more energetic, more focused and more motivated. The Gonzalo Higuain goal allowed us to have a chance to tie in the final portion but it was too little too late.

The painful loss sparked an intense debate among Juventini. Has 3-5-2 run its course? It is clear that we perform better with three midfielders and Miralem Pjanic as no.10 and when he is not out there, the deficit in creativity is appalling and most of the play-making falls on the shoulders of Paulo Dybala, which is pretty unfair. No wonder that he misses sitters when he has to carry the water up and down the pitch for the whole game. The midfield does not seem to have any juice: Sami Khedira has not been the same after an excellent start and Claudio Marchisio is coming off a tough injury, while the others do not really move the needle. A quality reinforcement might be necessary.

If Massimiliano Allegri does not think that the Bosnian can play in a three-man midfield, he is unlikely to utilize 3-5-2 when he has the full team at disposal. However, the roster is built and has depth only with that scheme. Pjanic, Juan Cuadrado and Marko Pjaca allow to explore other solutions, but only short-term ones: you can not fit Dybala in a 4-2-3-1 or Pjanic in a 4-4-2 or either in a 4-3-3. It is not an ideal situation for the coaching staff, but it has to find a solution to make it work. 4-3-2-1 is a good enough compromise: I think it is ideal for a squad to stick to a formation and move away from it as little as possible. This tactic forces Pjanic, Dybala, Cuadrado and Pjaca to adapt to new and slightly different positions compared to what they are used to, but I do not really see an alternative.

The BBC had a very poor game against Fiorentina and they struggled to control Nikola Kalinic and company, even though they were not outnumbered. Andrea Barzagli and Leonardo Bonucci are still working their way back from lengthy injuries and unfortunately I do not think Giorgio Chiellini has had one of those vintage games where he just physically manhandles opponents this season. Maybe it is a matter of conditioning, maybe it is a matter of age, but the defence, while still being the class of the league, has conceded more goals than in the past. It will be interesting to see who is chosen on Sunday now that everybody is available and 4-3-2-1, or whatever you want to call it, is likely to be the way to go. Daniele Rugani also had a couple of really good outings while others were sidelined. Alex Sandro and Stefano Sturaro are suspended for this one, but Stephan Lichtsteiner returns. Kwadwo Asamoah and Tomas Rincon are set to start. There are some reports indicating that 3-5-2 could be the choice again, with Pjanic as box-to-box midfielder, but I am honestly very sceptical about that.

Juventus have won all the domestic games played at the Stadium so far this season and it would be nice to keep the streak going: the theoretical gap over Roma is now four points and it was unfortunate to see it reduced now that Champions League football is right around the corner. This should be a period where the team pushes on the pedal and tries to break away from the pack, but it has not really worked out that way so far. I still think Bianconeri will have no problems for Scudetto, but it would be nice to not make it difficult and to be able to focus on the later stages of the big-eared cup without the anxiety of having to give top performances on weekends as well.

UPDATE: Marchisio is dealing with muscle fatigue and will not play: Hernanes is likely to replace him, but his absence opens the door for some tactical surprises, considering the shortage of avaliable midfielders. Patrice Evra is out and definitely on his way out considering the coach’s words. Mario Lemina has returned from Gabon and will be evaluated for a back injury. Dani Alves is back in the squad list.

Probable lineup: 

4-3-2-1: Buffon; Lichtsteiner, Bonucci, Chiellini, Asamoah; Khedira, Hernanes, Rincon; Dybala, Pjanic; Higuain

Injuries:

Marchisio (hamstring), Lemina (back), Evra, Benatia (AFCON), Mandragora (foot), Mattiello (nose). 

Suspensions:

Sandro, Sturaro.

 

Lazio

Lazio are enjoying a very prolific season: they are in fourth position, one point behind Napoli and four points behind Roma. They won four out of their five games, with the one loss being a stinker at San Siro against Inter, where they collapsed in the second half. Their road record is above average. They are pretty much flying under the radar.

Simone Inzaghi has juggled with a couple of lineups this season and they are very flexible as he usually privileges picking the players and tailoring a scheme around them rather than the other way around. He is dealing with a couple of problems: Senad Lulic is disqualified, while Dusan Basta has muscle fatigue and is unlikely to recover in time. Also Seydou Keita is in Gabon to play AFCON. They will be down three starters and so there will be some adjustments.

Besides Keita’s sheer talent, Lulic’s absence in particular is a big one because of his versatility: he can play LB, LWB, CM and LW without skipping a beat. They have used 3-4-2-1 in the most recent games, but they do not really have an alternative on the left flank other than adapting Patric, but that would cause an unwanted ripple effect that would force their hands, so they are likely to opt for a more natural 4-3-3. Felipe Anderson has done OK as RWB even though I do not like him there, but they are set to use him in the trident. A super defensive option would include three pure centre-backs, Patric as RWB and Stefan Radu as LWB, with Anderson and Alberto behind Ciro Immobile up front.

There are a couple of doubts regarding the starting lineup: Inzaghi has rotated Wallace, Bastos and Wesley Hoedt as Stefan De Vrij’s partner in the heart of the defence. Neither is a great option but they all had their moments: the first two are very physical. Wallace seems to have a slight edge at this points. With Keita in Africa, they have a couple options on the wings: Luis Alberto, whom they acquired this summer but has not done much all season until recently, or Cristiano Lombardi, a product of their youth system who was set to leave on loan this summer but that Inzaghi decided to keep and has had some nice games. Alberto plays mostly on the left while Lombardi on the right, but that is not an issue because Anderson is effective on both flanks.

Ciro Immobile has scored 11 goals this season and in his career he has always thrived when he has been the focal point of a team. His work on the offside line is commendable and he is a very good finisher. He has recently broken a two-month drought. Sergej Milinkovic-Savic is the other player to keep an eye on: his performances have improved dramatically when he was moved to a more advanced position and his combination of size and technique is a handful for defenders. He will have to slide back because of Lulic’s unavailability, but his cuts will have to be tightly guarded.

They are in general a physical team and they have scored a lot on set pieces. Anderson and Lucas Biglia are the two main sources of playmaking, with the rest of the team feeding off them. There is a nice harmony in their playing style, where everybody seems to know his role. Their defence is not that quick and can be exposed with fast attacks, but on the other hand the counter-attacking game is definitely an arrow in their quiver.

Probable lineup: 

4-3-3: Marchetti; Patric, Wallace, De Vrij, Radu; Parolo, Biglia, Milinkovic; Anderson, Immobile, Alberto.

Out: 

Keita (AFCON).

Suspensions:

Lulic.

 

 

Formation